The Opta supercomputer has run a whopping 50,000 simulations of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League (UCL) league phase, forecasting Celtic’s possible points tallies as the group stage progresses.
Based on these simulations, the most likely outcome sees Celtic finishing with 11 points, with a 17.6% chance of that happening. If Celtic can indeed reach that total, they would be in a solid position to secure qualification to the knockout stages.
However, the computer model shows other potential outcomes. There’s a 12.8% chance the Hoops end on 10 points and a 12.1% probability they finish with 8 points, leaving plenty of room for different scenarios as Celtic’s group stage matches unfold.
Currently sitting on 4 points after three games—most recently coming off the back of a hard-fought draw against Atalanta—the Bhoys still have everything to play for. The next two fixtures, crucially both at Celtic Park, could define their fate. With Leipzig and Club Brugge making the trip to Glasgow, Celtic’s home form will likely be pivotal in determining whether they advance.
Despite the tough competition, the early results have given Brendan Rodgers’ men a decent platform. The supporters will be hopeful that Celtic can turn their strong performances into the points needed to make it to the knockout stages.
